Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.001587 0.001757 0.001926 0.002107 0.002294 0.002481 0.002684
2025-09-28 0.001389 0.001641 0.001898 0.002179 0.002475 0.002777 0.003107
2025-10-05 0.001195 0.001509 0.001837 0.002202 0.002593 0.002997 0.003444
2025-10-12 0.001035 0.001399 0.001788 0.002228 0.002707 0.003207 0.003764
2025-10-19 0.000877 0.001277 0.001716 0.002222 0.002778 0.003366 0.004026
2025-10-26 0.000738 0.001165 0.001646 0.002209 0.002838 0.003507 0.004265
2025-11-02 0.000615 0.001062 0.001579 0.002194 0.002888 0.003634 0.004484
2025-11-09 0.000513 0.000975 0.001524 0.002187 0.002944 0.003763 0.004703
2025-11-16 0.000429 0.000902 0.001479 0.002189 0.003006 0.003896 0.004923
2025-11-23 0.000356 0.000837 0.001440 0.002192 0.003067 0.004026 0.005137
2025-11-30 0.000322 0.000820 0.001458 0.002262 0.003201 0.004236 0.005437
2025-12-07 0.000255 0.000750 0.001406 0.002244 0.003233 0.004329 0.005606
2025-12-14 0.000202 0.000706 0.001399 0.002301 0.003375 0.004571 0.005970
2025-12-21 0.000154 0.000665 0.001396 0.002362 0.003523 0.004822 0.006349
2025-12-28 0.000100 0.000599 0.001356 0.002377 0.003616 0.005013 0.006661
2026-01-04 0.000058 0.000541 0.001323 0.002398 0.003716 0.005210 0.006979
2026-01-11 0.000022 0.000471 0.001267 0.002387 0.003776 0.005360 0.007244
2026-01-18 0.000002 0.000406 0.001211 0.002372 0.003828 0.005500 0.007495
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000345 0.001155 0.002354 0.003875 0.005631 0.007736
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000294 0.001109 0.002346 0.003932 0.005772 0.007986
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000251 0.001071 0.002347 0.003997 0.005922 0.008244
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000213 0.001037 0.002350 0.004064 0.006072 0.008502
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000203 0.001052 0.002422 0.004215 0.006320 0.008869